Chelsea vs Arsenal Free Bets & Betting Tips: Backing Overs in Search of Profit


Chelsea vs Arsenal

We have a top-of-the-table clash on Match Day 13 in the Premier League. League leaders Arsenal make the trip across London to face second-placed Chelsea. Six points clear ahead of the game; the Gunners will put considerable distance between themselves and the Blues if they pick up all three points. A win for Chelsea would make things very interesting heading into the packed Christmas period.

Here, using information presented by NewBettingSites.uk, we pick out our best Chelsea vs Arsenal Bet Builder. We also highlight a great value betting offer ahead of the big game at 4:30pm on Sunday, 30 November.

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xG Points to Over 2.50 Goals

Both sides are in excellent form heading into the game. Chelsea have lost only one of their eleven in all competitions and arrive on a high, having beaten Barcelona 3-0 here in midweek. Arsenal, meanwhile, were unbeaten in fifteen in all competitions before their midweek Champions League clash with Bayern Munich at the Emirates. The table suggests that Arsenal have been the better and more consistent side over the first third of the season. But what do the xG numbers say? Let’s take a look at the respective home and away figures for the London rivals.

So far at home, Chelsea are averaging 2.04 goals-for per game and 1.33 against. Arsenal’s average numbers on the road stand at 1.80 for and 0.83 against. Combining these figures suggests a scoreline of Chelsea 1.44 – 1.57 Arsenal, or total goals of 3.01. With Arsenal missing defensive lynchpin Gabriel, over 2.5 goals with both teams to score appears to be a solid foundation for our bet builder.

Card Pointers

Ahead of any derby game, it is always tempting to lean towards overs in the cards market. To select how high we need to go, let's again look at the records of the sides so far this season. Chelsea’s home games are averaging 4.19 cards per game. Arsenal’s respective numbers sit at 3.00, creating an average of 3.60. With the derby element in effect, we will take the conservative approach and side with over 3.50 cards.

Boost Bet with Corners?

Arsenal's efficiency from corners is well documented. The Gunners' goal threat from corners likely leads to many teams factoring the avoidance of corners into their tactics. However, that is easier said than done. Arsenal are averaging a league-high seven corners per game on the road while conceding an average of 3.67 per match. Chelsea’s home games have featured an average of 10.83 corners per game. Both numbers exceed 10.5, which will act as the next leg of our bet builder.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Bet Builder

  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Both Teams to Score
  • Over 3.5 Cards
  • Over 10.5 Corners

A £10 Bet Builder containing the above selections returns £75.00 with Spreadex.

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