How to Bet on the Draws


How to Bet on the Draws

Despite being an outcome as possible as any other in a football match from the statistical point of view, a draw has always been one of the biggest and most demanding betting challenges.

Surprisingly, however, any football match has significantly higher chance of ending up in a draw than in rugby or American football for instance. Numbers are there to prove it as well with approximately 26% of all Premier League matches over the past decade finishing in a tie.

Therefore, it is fair to say that the very premise that a draw is not likely to occur in a football match is just a wrongly perceived idea which stands as a road block between you and a potential win.

Intuition vs Knowledge

Recognising a potential draw has become art and by mastering it you as a punter make that illusive transition from a cheeky bettor to a knowledgeable pundit, even though you might only be using intuition as your guide.

Intuitively speaking, a draw is most likely to occur in a matchup between two sides of relative equal ability or teams that play under the same amount of pressure. You must listen to what your intuition has to say, but do not discard the common knowledge that suggest a title contender on a positive run is unlikely to be held by a minnow struggling to find ground under the feet in a decline towards relegation.

Two midtable sides locked in a fight for European places are arguably the best-valued choice for a draw.

A point Big as a House

One of the reasons speaking in favour of those mid table teams is the need for points and fear of losing.

To sides sitting in sixth and fifth place in the standings midway through a football season each point is as big as a house and, with that in mind, their mindset can get predetermined and programmed to share the spoils and look for the entire loot elsewhere.

A match like this one is easy to recognise and could be a perfect opportunity for In-Play betting as well. Teams playing for a draw will make a strong start in attempt to break the deadlock and then pull back and sit deep, trying to keep rivals at bay.

Having shut the shop in the second half, teams like these will not be charging forward as well but will be confident of their defensive ability to provide enough backing to your choice to stick with a draw.

Low Scoring Affairs

Let us tell you straight away, chasing the high-scoring draws is difficult. It would be extremely easier to predict a goalless stalemate than a 2-2 or 3-3 game between teams that like to play and enjoy an openminded brand of football.

Each league, however, has a couple of its low-scoring sides who struggle in the striking department and choose to defend their goal rather charge towards the opposing one. A simple look at the team statistic should provide a deep enough of an insight when you are searching the low-scoring sides.

Pitted against one another, such sides tend to mute each other out in a dull but an effective draw from the punter’s point of view.

Best 10 New Bookmakers

£30 SIGN UP HERE

18+. New Players Only. Min deposit £20. Offer is a £30 free bet when you bet £10 in one single transaction, on any sports at odds of 2.00 or higher. Free bet credited upon qualifying bet settlement. Free Bet can be redeemed on any sports market and used in one single transaction. Winnings credited as cash and immediately withdrawable. Free bet expires 7 days after being credited. Free Bets non withdrawable. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Affordability checks apply. Terms apply. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.org.

£25 SIGN UP HERE

New customers only. Bets placed on sports at odds of 2.50 or more to qualify. Bets must be placed 25 hours within registration. £25 free bets must be wagered on sports. Full terms below. Gambling can be addictive, play responsibly 18+

£30 SIGN UP HERE

18+ New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org

£20 SIGN UP HERE

New verified customers only. Opt-in required. Deposit £20 and earn £1 of Free Bet value for every £1 staked on Bet Builders, with each qualifying stake counting towards a free bet builder reward, at combined odds of 2.0 (1/1) or greater. Min Reward: £1 Free Bet / Max Reward: £20 Free Bet. Cash in or claim within 48 hours of promo end. Free Bets expire 7 days after claim. 18+ GambleAware.org

£10 SIGN UP HERE

Welcome bonus for a new players only | Maximum bonus is 100% up to $/€/£ 123 | Min deposit is $/€/£ 10 | No max cash out | Wagering is 50x bonus | Maximum bet while playing with a bonus is $/€/£ 5 |
Eligibility is restricted for a suspected abuse | Skrill and Neteller deposits excluded |

£20 SIGN UP HERE

New online customers only. Register and place a £/€5+ first bet at 1/1 (2.0)+ on sports or racing within 7 days. Get a £/€10 Tote Credit and £/€10 Free Sports Bet within 48 hours of settlement. Voided/non-runner bets don’t qualify. Rewards expire in 7 days. 18+. One per customer. Selected customers only. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org.

£40 SIGN UP HERE

Deposit £10+ and place a sports bet within 7 days from registration. Get 4 x £10 Free Bets - 2 x Football Accas (4+) & 2 x Sports Multiples (2+), valid 7 days. Min odds apply. Excludes virtual sports, esports and non-UK/IE horse racing. Opt-in required. 18+. T&Cs apply.

£30 SIGN UP HERE

*New members only. £10+ bet on sportsbook (ex. virtuals) at 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days on sportsbook only. 2x£5 Free Bets for Bet Builder only. Stake not returned. T&Cs + deposit exclusions apply. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware®. 18+

£100 SIGN UP HERE

*New UK/IE customers . Place your first Football bet as an Accumulator (minimum four selections) and AK Bets will boost the return by 25% in the form of a Free Bet up to a value of £100. 18+ BeGambleAware.org."

£10 SIGN UP HERE

New Customer Offer – Bet £10 and get 1 x £10 free bet. First bet must be at odds of 2.00+ (single or acca). New customers only. Real money bets only; void/cash-out bets don’t qualify. Free bet credited within 24h, valid 7 days. Winnings paid as profit only (free bet stakes are not returned with winnings). Verification may be required. T&Cs apply.

Read More