Brazil and Germany Head to Russia as Favourites

World cup gold

The 2018 World Cup in Russia is nearly upon us, and many people have an opinion as to who they think will win the tournament. Brazil and Germany are very popular choices and when you look at their squads it is easy to see why. They both have quality throughout and perhaps more importantly they both have a point to prove. Brazil are desperate to bounce back after huge disappointment on home soil in 2014, while the winners that year, Germany, are looking for back to back titles.


Brazil are just edging favouritism with most bookmakers and their win is something that many people have predicted. One company to predict a win for Brazil is Goldman Sachs, and they base their findings on extensive data that they have uncovered. They have used 200,000 statistical models based on both individual and team data and those figures have come up with a win for Brazil.

The biggest problem Brazil will face this summer will be mentally, having to bounce back from their embarrassing 7-1 defeat to Germany on home soil. The 2014 World Cup was supposed to be about Brazil winning the biggest tournament of them all on their home stage, and fans expected nothing less than that. It wasn’t to be for Brazil and with many of those players coming here as part of this squad, they have a point to prove.


Coming into the tournament as reigning champions is always a very nice feeling, but it does add a little more pressure onto the Germans. Back to back titles is their aim, and with the quality they have in their line-up it is no surprise to see people fancying them strongly. The forecasters at Swiss investment bank UBS think the Germans can land a second title based on their predictions.

They have not taking their predictions lightly, and had 18 analysts working on the possible outcomes. This included 10,000 computer simulations which took into account past performances, team strength and qualification results. The eventual percentage worked out by them was 24% for a Germany win, with Brazil coming second with a 19.8% chance of winning.

Another company backing the Germans for success is Commerzbank, who have used statistical analysis, number crunching and data modelling to come up with their results. They give the Germans an 18% chance of lifting the World Cup, with Brazil second best with a score of just under 13%.

That is two big companies that have both come to the conclusion of Germany winning the World Cup when it begins shortly. The Germans have a different looking squad from the 2014 event, but with experience still remaining to help those newcomers they are made up very well.

Both Germany and Brazil are fancied by many and the big companies have also backed that with their stats and analysis, so things are looking positive for them ahead of going out onto the field in Russia. 

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